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Strategy and Doctrine

Deterrence Theory

Contemporary

Deterrence theory holds that a state can prevent an attack not by defeating it but by credibly threatening retaliation severe enough that the expected cost outweighs any gain, so the threat itself does the strategic work rather than combat. The theory was formalized after the introduction of nuclear weapons, most influentially in strategist Bernard Brodie's 1946 essay collection The Absolute Weapon, which argued the atomic bomb had made deterrence rather than victory the purpose of a modern military. It underpinned Cold War nuclear strategy between the United States and the Soviet Union; this entry covers deterrence as a military-strategic doctrine of threatened retaliation, distinct from its use as diplomatic or alliance policy. This description is adapted from Wikipedia contributors under CC BY-SA 4.0; changes were made. https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/4.0/

Facts
Core Claim
Prevent an adversary from attacking by credibly threatening unacceptable retaliation, so the threat itself, not battlefield victory, does the strategic work. 1
Origin Year
1946 1
Connections

Associated With

Source Wikipedia: LGM-30 Minuteman
Sources
1. Wikipedia: Deterrence theory
Wikipedia
  • Lead section
    Deterrence theory is the scholarship and practice of how threats of using force by one party can convince another party to refrain from initiating some other course of action.
  • Nuclear deterrence theory section
    Part of a state's nuclear arsenal must appear to be able to survive an attack by the adversary and be used for a retaliatory second strike
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Wikipedia: LGM-30 Minuteman
Associated With: LGM-30 Minuteman, History section
Quote, Associated With: LGM-30 Minuteman, History section
The Minuteman entered service in 1962 as a deterrence weapon that could hit Soviet cities with a second strike and countervalue counterattack if the U.S. was attacked.
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